Tyler Cowen thinks that the
Fed should not have a consumer-protection function. I’m largely sympathetic
– it’s not as though there’s any shortage of other regulators in Washington
who could pick up the slack – but in reality the Fed does more for consumers
than Cowen gives it credit for. Look at this
Ned Gramlich speech, for instance: the Fed was always at the forefront of
efforts to ensure that (a) banks lent to blacks as well as whites, and that
(b) banks lent to blacks at the same risk-adjusted interest rates at which they
lent to whites. In this era of abundant credit, people sometimes forget about
the redlining problem, but it was a big one, and we can thank the Fed, in part,
for helping to solve it.
All that said, Edmund Andrews’s front-page NYT article today, "Fed
Shrugged as Subprime Crisis Spread," does compellingly describe a central
bank which at best was committed to laissez-faire policies, or which at worst
was trying to shore up the post-dot-com-crash economy by deliberately allowing
the property bubble to inflate.
So I’m glad that the Fed has finally
gotten around to responding, with policies designed, in the words
of the AP’s Jeannine Aversa, to "give people taking out home mortgages
new protections against shady lending practices".
Most prepayment penalties would be banned on subprime loans: I like that. Underwriting
standards would be tightened up on no-doc loans: I don’t quite see the point
of that one, but it certainly can’t do much harm. And lenders would have to
include tax and insurance payments along with mortgage repayments when making
their underwriting decisions: well, duh. (Update:
reckons this is an escrow thing, not an underwriting thing. Which, as she rightly
points out, could be more problematic.)
The big change is that lenders would have to underwrite subprime loans based
on the borrower’s ability to repay over the duration of the mortgage, rather
than just for the initial teaser period. This could well affect younger borrowers
with a very good chance of seeing their income rise significantly by the time
the reset comes, although without seeing the details of the proposal it’s hard
to know for sure. It will certainly serve to dampen the amount of property speculation
going on among subprime borrowers, which must be a good thing.
Meanwhile, it’s also worth noting that Hank
Paulson has come out in favor of Fannie and Freddie being able to buy jumbo
mortgages. It seems that the Federal government is – finally –
getting serious about addressing problems in the mortgage industry. It’s too
late, of course. But better late than never, I suppose.