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Category Archives: banking
Chinese Banks: Still Weak
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, or ICBC, has a market capitalization of $334 billion, making it by far the most valuable bank in the world. Citigroup, HSBC, and Bank of America are next on the list, worth about $235 … Continue reading
Citi-KKR: The Ouroboros is Go
Yes, folks, it’s on: it’s not just fantasy, but moving towards reality. Citigroup has a bunch of loans to KKR that it can’t get off its books. So KKR is going to buy those loans, using $8 billion borrowed from … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans, private equity
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The Risk Disclosure Problem
Taleb and Greenspan have gotten all the press, but my nomination for book of the year in the finance/economics space (with the important proviso that I haven’t got very far into it yet) is "Plight of the Fortune Tellers" by … Continue reading
Posted in banking, derivatives
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MemeWatch: Superconduit as Treasury Bail-Out
Bloomberg’s Brendan Murray and Simon Kennedy have an article up today headlined "Paulson Credit Push Earns Jeers From Free-Marketers". It kicks off like this: U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s plan to shore up asset-backed commercial paper is drawing criticism from … Continue reading
Posted in banking, fiscal and monetary policy
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Speculating over Chuck Prince’s Ouster
Duff McDonald stilettoes Chuck Prince in this week’s New York, just in time for Citi’s dreadful earnings. McDonald says that Prince’s CEOship has been "a nightmare" since shortly after he got the top job, largely because he "regularly violated a … Continue reading
Posted in banking, defenestrations
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For the Record
The wager entered into between me and Jesse Eisinger: that investment banks’ bonus pool this year – in aggregate – will be at least 90% of the size it was last year. If it is, I win a bottle of … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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Investment Banks: Not Dead Yet
Jesse Eisinger has the cover story of the November issue of Portfolio with an obituary for Wall Street. I wonder what Barry Ritholtz thinks about this: Barry is structurally bearish, and might be inclined to agree with Jesse’s thesis, but … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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Is it a Bird? Is it a Plane? No, it’s Superconduit!
There’s a certain amount of sense to this idea: as Citigroup and other banks find themselves at the mercy of their off-balance sheet structured investment vehicles, or SIVs, they should just create one enormous pool with $100 billion or so … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans
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Where are the CROs’ Pink Slips?
Rick Bookstaber makes a good point today. Across Wall Street, heads of fixed income have been losing their jobs in the wake of trading losses. Now these men had a job: to take on risk in the fixed-income markets. When … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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No Value Added in Citi Shake-Up
I’m not a fan of this Citigroup shake-up. The ousted Thomas Maheras might have sat uncomfortably in his co-head role at the investment bank with Michael Klein (co-heads nearly always sit uncomfortably), but he was – is – a very … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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VaR Question of the Day
What is the point of Value-at-Risk? Yesterday, in a mildly confused post, I said that if a bank loses more than its VaR six days in one quarter, that’s "a sign of utter cluelessness". In fact, it’s not quite as … Continue reading
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VaR Datapoint of the Day
Morgan Stanley has some of the most sophisticated risk-management systems on planet earth. And yet, somehow, The company disclosed today that daily trading losses during the quarter exceeded the firm’s trading value-at- risk calculation on six days during the quarter. … Continue reading
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Bank Stock Datapoint of the Day
On Tuesday, shares in Goldman Sachs closed at a new record high of $239.20 per share. Goldman stock has risen by more than 50% from its August lows – a trajectory, says, Helen Thomas, "we’re more accustomed to seeing on … Continue reading
Structural Complexity in the Banking System
When Northern Rock started falling apart, it prompted people like accountant Richard Murphy to start taking a detailed look at its borrowing structure. Like all banks, Northern Rock structured a very complex series of bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicles to do its … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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Why Bank Shares Rise on Write-Downs
Dan Gross tackles the write-down paradox today: how come the share price of [Citigroup/Merrill Lynch/Bear Stearns/Whoever] rises when the bank announces massive losses? After all, he writes, Write-downs should be especially worrisome when taken by banks, since they are in … Continue reading
Northern Rock: Takeunder Candidate
Lex says that Christopher Flowers doesn’t seem to have sustained much reputational damage in the UK from the fact that he’s desperately trying to unbuy Sallie Mae. Certainly there don’t seem to be too many obstacles in his way should … Continue reading
Posted in banking, private equity
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The Rubin-Bernanke Phone Call
Teh internets aren’t happy about the fact that Bob Rubin, Lew Ranieri, and others got to speak one-on-one with Ben Bernanke in the wake of the August FOMC meeting. (See John Carney (twice), Kevin Duffy, and Greg Newton, for starters.) … Continue reading
Posted in banking, fiscal and monetary policy
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Winner of the Day: Santander
The RBS-led consortium has now officially won ABN Amro, and the WSJ has an excellent play-by-play of how the deal went down, including a graph of how the consortium members’ stocks have been doing this year. While RBS is down … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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The Henry Kravis Monologues
Michael Flaherty reveals today that "at some point in the last few weeks, bankers say that Citigroup Chief Chuck Prince paid a visit to the office of Henry Kravis… What exactly transpired between King Henry and Prince is anybody’s guess." … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans
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How Banks Calculate Their Write-Downs
The WSJ has a fabulous "Heard on the Street" column today, worrying about all these losses being announced by big universal banks: Citi, UBS, Deutsche. Are they worried that the losses are so big they will damage the banks’ franchise? … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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How to Improve Commerce Bank’s Income
DealBook asks today whether Toronto-Dominion Bank is overpaying for Commerce Bank. They’re both customer-serviced, says RBC analyst Gerard Cassidy, but they have very different profit margins: The difference, Mr. Cassidy told The Times, is that Toronto-Dominion, which operates in a … Continue reading
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Commerce Bank: An Expensive Strategic Asset
The $8.5 billion acquisition of Commerce Bancorp by Canada’s Toronto-Dominion Bank is being greeted with something of a shrug this morning. When Commerce CEO Vernon Hill was ousted in June, it seemed only a matter of time before the company … Continue reading
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More on the NetBank Failure
Last night I talked to Chris Coulthrust (not Colthrust) of Applied Cognetics, about the NetBank implosion. Understandably, for someone who’s just lost access to what he thought was money safely in the bank, he’s not a happy bunny. And equally … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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Poetic Justice in NetBank Implosion
It hasn’t got a lot of headlines, but the US has now officially suffered its biggest bank failure since 1993. NetBank had $2.5 billion in assets, and somehow contrived to lose more than $200 million in 2006. Deposits were insured … Continue reading
Debt Writedowns: The Universal Banks’ Turn
It doesn’t make a whole lot of intuitive sense, on its face. The investment banks are up to their eyeballs in structured products and quantitative strategies, while the big global universal banks are heavily diversified among different products and countries. … Continue reading
Posted in banking
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