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Category Archives: bonds and loans
Can Ratings Agencies be Fixed?
Stanford’s Darrell Duffie is giving a series of lectures at Princeton on capital immobility, which will be turned into a book to be published by Princeton University Press. The Press invited me to dinner with Duffie last night – delicious, … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Greenspan: No Fan of The Entity
Alan Greenspan is not a fan of The Entity. It’s not trying to bail out some troubled firm, he says: rather, it’s trying to artificially support an entire asset class. Which might not be a bright idea: Greenspan argued that … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Citi-KKR: The Ouroboros is Go
Yes, folks, it’s on: it’s not just fantasy, but moving towards reality. Citigroup has a bunch of loans to KKR that it can’t get off its books. So KKR is going to buy those loans, using $8 billion borrowed from … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans, private equity
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When Co-CIOs Disagree
Mohamed El-Erian and Bill Gross will, as of January, both hold the title of chief investment officer at bond giant Pimco. Few firms have as much money as Pimco tied up in short-term debt instruments like the ones issued by … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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How the Superconduit Just Might Work
Yves Smith is pessimistic about the prospects for this proposed superconduit. (The press is all over the story this morning: you can start with the NYT, FT, WSJ, and Bloomberg, although there’s much more where that came from; that said, … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Is it a Bird? Is it a Plane? No, it’s Superconduit!
There’s a certain amount of sense to this idea: as Citigroup and other banks find themselves at the mercy of their off-balance sheet structured investment vehicles, or SIVs, they should just create one enormous pool with $100 billion or so … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans
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Argentina to Settle with the Paris Club
It’s taken almost almost seven years since Argentina defaulted on its debt at the beginning of 2001, but finally the country looks as though it’s going to agree terms with the Paris Club of bilateral creditors. Argentina owes the Paris … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans, IMF
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Bonkers Idea of the Day, EM Debt Edition
One of the things I love about academic economists is that they have a certain amount of freedom to be utterly bonkers occasionally. The LSE’s Bernardo Guimaraes has a modest proposal up at Vox: rewrite the bonds of developing countries … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans, emerging markets
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Taking Net Asset Value at Face Value
Do you remember when Dave Neubert bought shares in Countrywide because they were only a little bit rich to book value? That didn’t work out too great. But now he’s back to the single-indicator trade, and is buying the Morgan … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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The Henry Kravis Monologues
Michael Flaherty reveals today that "at some point in the last few weeks, bankers say that Citigroup Chief Chuck Prince paid a visit to the office of Henry Kravis… What exactly transpired between King Henry and Prince is anybody’s guess." … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans
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Money Market Datapoint of the Day
All that money has to go somewhere, right? I asked in September what was going to happen to all the money which used to be in asset-backed commercial paper and other short-dated asset-backed securities. It seems that a significant chunk … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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The Advisability of Real Estate Lending
Where was Mike Milken when I needed him? I’m a veritable milquetoast compared to him: my view is simply that buying a home isn’t always a good idea, especially not when it costs less than half as much to rent … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans, housing
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GE, the Old-Fashioned Lender
Do you remember when commercial banking was all about knowing your client and your clients’ industry and having strong relationships and parking billions of dollars in loans in some dusty old part of the balance sheet which never got marked … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Why the Ratings Agencies Should Fear Congress
There was a lot of bashing of the ratings agencies this morning at the Portfolio subprime panel. It was timely, coming as it did ahead of Congressional hearings on the ratings agencies and their role in the present mess. Investors … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Subprime: It’s Not About Creditworthiness
A bit of a late start this morning, thanks to a Portfolio breakfast (of which more later) hosted by Jesse Eisinger on the subject of the subprime meltdown. Joe Mason of Drexel University was there, and was very rude about … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans, housing
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Bonds Without Price Quotes
Paul Kedrosky has found a Greenwich Associates report saying that "more than 60% of participants active in corporate bonds say they have experienced trouble getting a simple price quote from dealers on these usually liquid products". Is this, as he … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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There’s No Such Thing as an Objective Credit Rating
Vickie Tillman of S&P has an interesting letter in the WSJ today, defending the ratings agency against the kind of charges made by Jesse Eisinger in last month’s Portfolio. S&P is not conflicted, she says, by the fact that its … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Adventures in Structured Credit, Ratings Edition
Take a bunch of AA-rated securities. Boring, I know. So instead of just buying them, buy them with leverage, to boost their returns. Now, take that bundle of leveraged AA-rated debt, and tranche it, so that there’s a super-senior AAA-rated … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Distressed Debt Starts to go Mainstream
I mentioned on Monday that retail investors have a hard time buying up structured debt products which look very much as though they’re being underpriced in the present credit crunch. Today comes the news that in the wake of TCW … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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Does Paulson Really Think the Credit Crunch Will Last a Decade?
How long does Hank Paulson think this credit crunch will last? According to the FT, it could be a decade: The crisis of confidence in credit markets is likely to last longer than previous financial shocks of the past two … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans
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El-Erian Leaves Harvard, Returns to Pimco
Mohamed El-Erian is moving
back to Newport
Beach. Here’s my take on the news.
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Posted in bonds and loans
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ABCP: The Trillion-Dollar Question
Let’s say that up until recently, money-market funds
had $1 trillion of their assets in ABCP. As that number starts to fall precipitously,
what are those funds going to invest in instead?
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Posted in bonds and loans
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On Bankruptcy
Megan McArdle has a paen
to the US bankruptcy system today:
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Posted in bonds and loans, personal finance
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Why Goldman Might Sell its Loans at a Discount
The Breaking Views column in today’s WSJ features a column
by Lauren Silva originally published last Thursday. "Can Goldman Win on
Debt?" is the headline on the piece, which asks whether Goldman Sachs is
"about to turn the credit crunch to its advantage".
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Posted in banking, bonds and loans
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Extreme Measures III: Cambiz Alikhani at the Financial Times
Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism submits: As concern about tightening conditions in the credit markets and the continued erosion of the US supbrime and broader housing market has grown, so too have calls for Extreme Measures to combat these snowballing … Continue reading
Posted in banking, bonds and loans, hedge funds, regulation
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