Category Archives: bonds and loans

Can Ratings Agencies be Fixed?

Stanford’s Darrell Duffie is giving a series of lectures at Princeton on capital immobility, which will be turned into a book to be published by Princeton University Press. The Press invited me to dinner with Duffie last night – delicious, … Continue reading

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Greenspan: No Fan of The Entity

Alan Greenspan is not a fan of The Entity. It’s not trying to bail out some troubled firm, he says: rather, it’s trying to artificially support an entire asset class. Which might not be a bright idea: Greenspan argued that … Continue reading

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Citi-KKR: The Ouroboros is Go

Yes, folks, it’s on: it’s not just fantasy, but moving towards reality. Citigroup has a bunch of loans to KKR that it can’t get off its books. So KKR is going to buy those loans, using $8 billion borrowed from … Continue reading

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When Co-CIOs Disagree

Mohamed El-Erian and Bill Gross will, as of January, both hold the title of chief investment officer at bond giant Pimco. Few firms have as much money as Pimco tied up in short-term debt instruments like the ones issued by … Continue reading

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How the Superconduit Just Might Work

Yves Smith is pessimistic about the prospects for this proposed superconduit. (The press is all over the story this morning: you can start with the NYT, FT, WSJ, and Bloomberg, although there’s much more where that came from; that said, … Continue reading

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Is it a Bird? Is it a Plane? No, it’s Superconduit!

There’s a certain amount of sense to this idea: as Citigroup and other banks find themselves at the mercy of their off-balance sheet structured investment vehicles, or SIVs, they should just create one enormous pool with $100 billion or so … Continue reading

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Argentina to Settle with the Paris Club

It’s taken almost almost seven years since Argentina defaulted on its debt at the beginning of 2001, but finally the country looks as though it’s going to agree terms with the Paris Club of bilateral creditors. Argentina owes the Paris … Continue reading

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Bonkers Idea of the Day, EM Debt Edition

One of the things I love about academic economists is that they have a certain amount of freedom to be utterly bonkers occasionally. The LSE’s Bernardo Guimaraes has a modest proposal up at Vox: rewrite the bonds of developing countries … Continue reading

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Taking Net Asset Value at Face Value

Do you remember when Dave Neubert bought shares in Countrywide because they were only a little bit rich to book value? That didn’t work out too great. But now he’s back to the single-indicator trade, and is buying the Morgan … Continue reading

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The Henry Kravis Monologues

Michael Flaherty reveals today that "at some point in the last few weeks, bankers say that Citigroup Chief Chuck Prince paid a visit to the office of Henry Kravis… What exactly transpired between King Henry and Prince is anybody’s guess." … Continue reading

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Money Market Datapoint of the Day

All that money has to go somewhere, right? I asked in September what was going to happen to all the money which used to be in asset-backed commercial paper and other short-dated asset-backed securities. It seems that a significant chunk … Continue reading

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The Advisability of Real Estate Lending

Where was Mike Milken when I needed him? I’m a veritable milquetoast compared to him: my view is simply that buying a home isn’t always a good idea, especially not when it costs less than half as much to rent … Continue reading

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GE, the Old-Fashioned Lender

Do you remember when commercial banking was all about knowing your client and your clients’ industry and having strong relationships and parking billions of dollars in loans in some dusty old part of the balance sheet which never got marked … Continue reading

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Why the Ratings Agencies Should Fear Congress

There was a lot of bashing of the ratings agencies this morning at the Portfolio subprime panel. It was timely, coming as it did ahead of Congressional hearings on the ratings agencies and their role in the present mess. Investors … Continue reading

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Subprime: It’s Not About Creditworthiness

A bit of a late start this morning, thanks to a Portfolio breakfast (of which more later) hosted by Jesse Eisinger on the subject of the subprime meltdown. Joe Mason of Drexel University was there, and was very rude about … Continue reading

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Bonds Without Price Quotes

Paul Kedrosky has found a Greenwich Associates report saying that "more than 60% of participants active in corporate bonds say they have experienced trouble getting a simple price quote from dealers on these usually liquid products". Is this, as he … Continue reading

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There’s No Such Thing as an Objective Credit Rating

Vickie Tillman of S&P has an interesting letter in the WSJ today, defending the ratings agency against the kind of charges made by Jesse Eisinger in last month’s Portfolio. S&P is not conflicted, she says, by the fact that its … Continue reading

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Adventures in Structured Credit, Ratings Edition

Take a bunch of AA-rated securities. Boring, I know. So instead of just buying them, buy them with leverage, to boost their returns. Now, take that bundle of leveraged AA-rated debt, and tranche it, so that there’s a super-senior AAA-rated … Continue reading

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Distressed Debt Starts to go Mainstream

I mentioned on Monday that retail investors have a hard time buying up structured debt products which look very much as though they’re being underpriced in the present credit crunch. Today comes the news that in the wake of TCW … Continue reading

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Does Paulson Really Think the Credit Crunch Will Last a Decade?

How long does Hank Paulson think this credit crunch will last? According to the FT, it could be a decade: The crisis of confidence in credit markets is likely to last longer than previous financial shocks of the past two … Continue reading

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El-Erian Leaves Harvard, Returns to Pimco

Mohamed El-Erian is moving
back
to Newport
Beach
. Here’s my take on the news.
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ABCP: The Trillion-Dollar Question

Let’s say that up until recently, money-market funds
had $1 trillion of their assets in ABCP. As that number starts to fall precipitously,
what are those funds going to invest in instead?
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On Bankruptcy

Megan McArdle has a paen
to the US bankruptcy system
today:
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Why Goldman Might Sell its Loans at a Discount

The Breaking Views column in today’s WSJ features a column
by Lauren Silva originally published last Thursday. "Can Goldman Win on
Debt?" is the headline on the piece, which asks whether Goldman Sachs is
"about to turn the credit crunch to its advantage".
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Extreme Measures III: Cambiz Alikhani at the Financial Times

Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism submits: As concern about tightening conditions in the credit markets and the continued erosion of the US supbrime and broader housing market has grown, so too have calls for Extreme Measures to combat these snowballing … Continue reading

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