Category Archives: bonds and loans

Credit Losses: The Good News

Where are the hedge-fund losers in the credit markets? That’s what Option Armageddon is asking, via an email from a friend in the hedge-fund industry: There have been some nice fortunes made from the spread widening (Paulson, Hayman, Blue Ridge, … Continue reading

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TIPS: Great, or Terrible?

Min Zeng, on page C2 of today’s WSJ: With oil prices above $100 a barrel and countries from China to the U.S. reporting sharp gains in consumer prices, now may be the time to buy inflation-protected securities. Big bond investors, … Continue reading

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Did FASB Scupper the Auction-Rate Market?

Auction-rate securities certainly don’t look very much like cash equivalents these days, as the WSJ shows, citing retail investor Naveen Ahuja, who is unable to sell $665,000 of the things. For investors like Mr. Ahuja, the unrest in a formerly … Continue reading

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Pimco: Even Bigger Than You Thought

Are you in the mood for 4,500 words on how Pimco is alleged to have illegally squeezed the Treasury market in 2005? Then run along to Bloomberg forthwith. The details of the lawsuit bore me, with the exception of the … Continue reading

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Will Bond and CDS Prices Ever Converge?

If bond and stock prices are out of whack, then maybe it shouldn’t come as any surprise that bond and CDS prices are also trading miles apart from each other. In fact, you have to be careful when you try … Continue reading

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Will Bond and Stock Prices Ever Converge?

I feel I’ve been having this conversation for over a year now: are bonds too cheap, or are stocks too expensive? Yves Smith points out today that the FT is on the case, with John Authers taking the view that … Continue reading

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The Credit Suisse Writedown: Less Than Meets the Eye

Credit Suisse has $34 billion in CMBS, RMBS and CDO exposures. Or, hang on a minute, cut that by $2.85 billion: apparently there were some "mismarkings" going on. There seems to be a lot of people who are very shocked … Continue reading

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The Magic of Pricing Conventions

A banker makes a $10 million loan to a client at an interest rate of 10%. He then turns around and securitizes the loan, selling it to bond investors at an interest rate of 10%. Does that sound like a … Continue reading

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Don’t Bank on Loan Deals

Front-page stories in the WSJ and FT: two great tastes which go great together! First there’s David Enrich in the WSJ, talking about a Citigroup hedge fund named CSO Partners, which contracted to buy a bunch of loans and then … Continue reading

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Auction-Rate Securities: Not Such a Big Deal

I’m not a big fan of the WSJ’s front-page story about trouble in the auction-rate securities market today. It’s long – over 2,000 words – which means that most readers won’t make it all the way past the jump to … Continue reading

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UBS: Where Metaphors Collide

Robert Cookson has got his hands on a research note from UBS’s Geraud Charpin. The gist is simple: debt is cheap, and it’s getting cheaper: We are in value territory. The iTraxx index is close to 110bp when its fair … Continue reading

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Chart of the Day: Debt Tranche Correlation

This is nerdy (the chart’s from Alea, the finance nerd’s blog of choice), but it’s also interesting. Jane Baird reports: Correlation on the five-year investment-grade Markit iTraxx Europe index — a measure of investor fears of a system-wide crash — … Continue reading

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Emerging Markets: Safer than Banks

I’m at the Fitch Latin America Sovereign Hotspots conference at the technologically-challenged Warwick Hotel this morning, where the irrepressibly quotable David Rolley, of Loomis Sayles, just appeared on a panel. Rolley’s always interesting, partly because he doesn’t confine himself to … Continue reading

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Credit Suisse: Not a Team Player, but Profitable

Credit Suisse reported reasonably good results, by bank standards and especially by UBS standards, this morning. But its reputation in the loan markets is taking a beating in the wake of the behavior detailed by Heidi Moore yesterday. Every time … Continue reading

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CLOs: Yes, Let’s Panic

Sam Jones has a good report on the CLO situation over at Alphaville. It’s bad: "80 is the new 90," he says, in terms of loan prices – which is bringing the triple-A tranches of market-value CLOs down into liquidation … Continue reading

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Banking: Words To Live By

A Credit Suisse banker explains how his bank avoided monster losses: "All of us [banks] are really in the moving, not the storage, business." Maybe Chuck Prince and Stan O’Neal never got the memo.

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Liquidations Update: Is it Time to Panic, Yet?

Should we be worried about collateralized loan obligations liquidating, or rather collateralized debt obligations? Alphaville has a list of liquidating CDOs which looks pretty scary to me, not that I know anything about them other than their names. Probably inchoate … Continue reading

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Beware the Market-Value CLO

The WSJ does a very good job this morning of bringing us all up to speed on the latest developments in the world of the credit crunch. I have a feeling we’ll be hearing more about these "market-value CLOs," creatures … Continue reading

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Warren Buffett can Still Borrow Money

Wojtek Dabrowski reports that Warren Buffett is reasonably sanguine: "I wouldn’t quite call it a credit crunch. Funds are available," Buffett said during a question and answer session at a business event. "Money is available, and it’s really quite cheap … Continue reading

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Skewed Incentives in Banking and Loans

I’m blogging today from the Money:Tech conference at the Waldorf, which means that news blogging is likely to be light today. But I would like to point you to a couple of news stories I did see this morning. First … Continue reading

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Bankruptcy: No Obstacle to Private-Equity Profits

Megan Barnett has not one but two excellent articles on Portfolio.com today. This morning she checked in on the Citadel IPO story, concluding that for all the buzz, it still ain’t gonna happen. This afternoon, she tells the story of … Continue reading

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American Express Scales Back

If American Express is struggling with past-due loans, why shouldn’t it be struggling with performing loans too? Last year our company spent almost $1 million with American Express, an average of over $81,000.00 per month. We paid the full balance … Continue reading

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Microsoft, Meet the Bond Market

Kate Haywood has some early speculation today on the subject of Microsoft’s bond spreads. Microsoft has never had any bonds – it doesn’t even have a credit rating – but its CFO has said, in the wake of the Yahoo … Continue reading

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Vale Sees its Loan Spreads Gap Out

Yesterday, I applauded – on both sides – Merrill Lynch’s departure from the team raising money to fund Vale’s $90 billion takeover bid for Xstrata. This morning, I got my daily email from Latin Finance (highly recommended, sign up here, … Continue reading

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The Past-Due Loan Problem at American Express

Right now the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 86.16 points, and American Express is down $1.51 per share. Given that the DJIA divisor is 0.123017848, that means American Express is responsible for 12.27 points of the Dow’s 86-point fall, … Continue reading

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