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Category Archives: housing
How to Default on Your Mortgage and Stay in Your House
Floyd Norris today finds one of the worst bonds ever underwritten: a securitization, by Merrill Lynch, of second-lien mortgages mostly originated by Ownit. The kicker? When the bond was sold, Ownit had already gone bust, a victim of the fact … Continue reading
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Was the Hamptons Property Bubble Speculative?
Richard Florida thinks the Hamptons property market is about to crash: It’s clear as a bell that the tremendous run-up in housing prices in places like the Hamptons, Miami, Naples, Florida, or other similar high-end vacation spots had little to … Continue reading
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How the Credit Crunch Hits NYC Renters
You thought New York City landlords were notoriously greedy and aggressive? Wait till you see what private-equity companies get up to when they enter the space. Gretchen Morgenson reports: In the last four years, developers backed by private equity firms … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans, housing
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Fannie Mae’s Weird Rally
I’ve seen a lot of financial institutions see their stock soar on the day they release atrocious quarterly results, and in fact I had them in mind this morning when I kicked off a blog entry with the words "Fannie … Continue reading
Fannie Mae’s Earnings: Awful
Fannie Mae’s stock is certain to tank today, and not necessarily for the obvious reason. Yes, its quarterly loss of $2.5 billion was much larger than expected. Yes, total shareholder equity evaporated at an even larger pace: it was was … Continue reading
How Long Until the Housing Market Recovers?
Cyril Moulle-Berteaux says "the housing market is bottoming right now": During the 1990s and early 2000s, it took 19% of average monthly income to service a conforming mortgage on the average home purchased. By 2005 and 2006, it was absorbing … Continue reading
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The Importance of Price Signals in the MBS Market
Brad DeLong replies to my post on whether hedge funds helped to stabilize the MBS market with a subtle but powerful argument. If I may attempt a paraphrase: hedge funds are marginal price-setters, and in financial markets a very large … Continue reading
Posted in hedge funds, housing
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Cities: The Least Bad Part of US Real Estate
As a general rule, if you get the opportunity to hear Sam Zell speak, you should take it. He was on the real estate panel today, and he didn’t disappoint. The moderator was Lew Feldman, a real-estate lawyer, who started … Continue reading
Posted in housing, milken 2008
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Did Hedge Funds Help Stabilize the Mortgage Market?
Brad DeLong approvingly quotes a correspondent: The fact that there was an ABX index and thus an easy way for people to bet that the mortage-backed securities market would crash probably cut short the bubble–the true hedge funds were stabilizing … Continue reading
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Sales Pitch of the Day, Realtors Edition
Watching the television on the plane over to LA, I saw this ad for the National Association of Realtors telling people that buying a house "is a good move" using the grounds that the average homeowner has 60% of his … Continue reading
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Heloc Securitization Datapoint of the Day
The biggest losses in the mortgage world have generally been taken on second liens – what in the real world are generally known as home equity lines. If you have a mortgage and a home equity line, and you default … Continue reading
Posted in bonds and loans, housing
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Condos With Embedded Puts
People say that given the non-recourse nature of mortgages in states like California, homeowners don’t normally buy their houses so much as buy a call option to buy the house at the purchase price, along with a put option to … Continue reading
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Getting Empirical on Subprime Losses
Tom Brown has a very interesting essay over at bankstocks.com, where he looks at 2006-vintage subprime mortgages and tries to come up with a cumulative loss rate for them. He makes the reasonable assumption that the ABX index represents subprime … Continue reading
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Jingle Mail: How do you Value Home Equity?
One of the biggest questions overhanging the housing market right now concerns the behavior of underwater mortgage borrowers. If the mortgage is non-recourse – and let’s assume for the moment that it is – does it always make sense for … Continue reading
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How to Prevent Foreclosure, Ohio Style
Ohio Attorney General Marc Dann has one of the best plans for reducing foreclosures that I’ve seen yet. It targets homeowners rather than lenders, it costs a known and not particularly large amount of money, and it has the potential … Continue reading
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How Jingle Mail Might Help Make Short Sales Easier
Remember youwalkaway.com? It was $995. Sound a bit too expensive? Well, do I have good news for you! Youwalkaway.com now has a competitor, walkawayplan.com, which is only $495! And the new site quotes bloggers, to boot! Apparently, if you go … Continue reading
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Sheila Bair’s Plan B
FDIC chairman Sheila Bair’s Plan A for modifying troubled mortgages is, by her own admission, not working out very well. But never worry, she’s got a Plan B: One idea is to provide loans directly to troubled borrowers to pay … Continue reading
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Housing Datapoint of the Day, Schadenfreude Edition
The Mortgage Bankers Association is having difficulties with its mortgage. (Via Campbell)
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Walking Away Without a Foreclosure
Remember youwalkaway.com? The idea there is that you stop making your mortgage payments but you can live in your house for 8 months or more before finally being evicted. Well now Barry Ritholtz has found a couple of articles, in … Continue reading
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How the Housing Bill Could Help New York City
A significant beneficiary of the housing bill being voted on by the Senate today could end up being New York City – and other areas with relatively low property taxes. A part of the bill is a flat $1,000 property-tax … Continue reading
Not Much Hope Now
The NYT checks in to see how the much-vaunted Hope Now coalition of mortgage lenders is doing, and you probably won’t be surprised at the results: Kenneth Goodman, a homeowner in Fontana, Calif,. said he did not have a good … Continue reading
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Homes as Investments
Ben Bernanke lives with his wife and two children in a house on Capitol Hill. Oh, wait, scratch that: according to Brendan Murray, Ben Bernanke lives with his wife and two children "in an investment that’s turned cold". Maybe it’s … Continue reading
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The Housing Crunch Without Houses
In an interactive feature of mine earlier this month, the most bubblicious bubble of them all was Astana, the new capital of Kazakhstan. Well, it seems to be bursting already: Bloomberg is running the wonderful headline "Kazakhs Get Craters, Not … Continue reading
Posted in emerging markets, housing
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Fannie and Freddie Get a Little Room to Breathe
OFHEO, the regulator in charge of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, has designed to loosen a key capital requirement which has been restraining the mortgage giants: To support growth and further restore market liquidity, OFHEO announced that it would begin … Continue reading
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Battle of the Housing Bears
Barry Ritholtz doesn’t like Alex Tabarrok’s "happy talk". Is he talking about this? If the financial markets can predict where and when house prices will stabilize, then credit conditions can quickly return to normal, the economy can expand and house … Continue reading
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